Forecasts show that in 2021, Chinese outbound tourists may reach 100 million. The large number of potential tourist sources in China’s outbound market may become the key to unlocking the international border.
The number of global aviation seats in 2020 is expected to fall to 3.2 billion, the same level as in 2005. From the historical record, the aviation industry can always recover from the downturn within 12 to 18 months. After experiencing the new crown epidemic, the aviation industry may not be able to recover so quickly. In terms of the number of flights, Europe has decreased by more than 70% year-on-year since November, North America has decreased by more than 45%, and Asia has decreased by about 30%. Starting in early November, the number of weekly airline seats worldwide has remained at about 55 million. Although there has been good news about vaccines in the near future, airlines’ current capacity arrangements for the first quarter of 2021 are still too optimistic.
According to the China Outbound Tourism Research Institute (COTRI), the number of Chinese outbound tourists may reach 100 million in 2021. Judging from the drastic changes in China’s domestic tourism, as long as international destinations can solve the problem of suppressing communication, it is possible to usher in the huge potential benefits of China’s outbound market.
Nearly a year since the beginning of the epidemic, governments of various countries have been in a crisis state of resolving health, employment, and economic crises. As long as the government has only crisis to deal with, it is difficult to take a step back and look at how to advance the overall situation.
The potential large number of Chinese outbound tourists next year may be the key to unlocking international tourism. Unless policies such as reliable health procedures and certification are introduced, tourists are unlikely to travel. Therefore, the Chinese market may lead the world in introducing relevant policies, and other destinations will follow suit.
From the International Civil Aviation Organization (ICAO), the International Air Transport Association (IATA), the World Health Organization (WHO) to the World Bank and other large international organizations that should provide advice, practical guidance provided so far is quite scarce. Therefore, from the current situation, China It may be the first to break through the bottleneck.